| A 'Green' Convertible Currency by Bernard A. Lietaer
Many countries of the world face a fourfold dilemma.
They are experiencing unemployment, inflation, and ecological
degradation, and they lack a convertible currency.
They produce some raw materials for which an international
market exists,but because of the burden of debt servicing and
a soft currency, their dilemma yearly becomes more acute.
This article proposes a solution in the form of a new
convertible currency, that I call New Currency. This comprises
a combination of two familiar concepts: stamp scrip
and currency backed by a basket of commodities.
Stamp scrip is a medium of exchange characterized
by a small monthly "user fee" or "negative interest" charge.
This fee was typically levied by requiring a small stamp to be
affixed to the back of the bill each month to revalidate it. The
user fee gives an incentive to the bearer not to hoard this
currency. Its practical and demonstrated economic effects
include strong, positive impacts on employment creation
and on inflation control. It also provides structural support
for ecologically sound economic growth. It has been tested
and used with remarkable success in a variety of cultures and
historical settings, including Western Europe as recently as
the 1930s.
The second concept--a currency backed by a predetermined basket
of commodities--is more familiar. An original aspect of my proposed
plan is that a country's central
bank would guarantee delivery of the value of the basket but
would remain free to deliver it in the form of any mix of the
commodities included in it. This approach provides unusual
stability for the international value of the currency, while
guaranteeing substantial flexibility in the way the country
fulfills its commitments.
The stamp scrip concept actively promotes internal
economic stability and employment growth, while the basket
of commodities concept ensures immediate convertibility of
the national currency and the international stability of its
purchasing value. These two concepts fit together by equating the
negative interest rate of the stamp scrip with the
approximate costs of storing, insuring, and delivering to
their respective international markets the commodities in the
basket.
1. The Stamp Scrip Concept
The negative-interest scrip concept was originally
developed during the latter part of the last century by an
Argentinian businessman and economist named Silvio Gesell.
The basic (and unusual) premise is that money as a medium
of exchange is considered a public service good, and therefore
a small user fee is levied on it. Instead of receiving
interest for retaining such a currency, the bearer in fact pays
interest for its use (typically at a rate of 1 to 2 percent a month).
Interestingly enough, Gesell's concept of "negative-interest
money" was supported by John Maynard Keynes in his
General Theory. However, banking interests have rather consistently
strenuously opposed it, even though banks could
keep a key role in a New Currency economic system.
The primary practical effect of a negative-interest
currency is a strong incentive to avoid hoarding. People
prefer to spend the currency very quickly on goods or
services and thereby generate a chain reaction of economic
transactions that otherwise would occur much more slowly
or simply not at all. This means in practice a strong and
immediate creation of local employment without the need
for government intervention.
Thus, negative-interest scrip can be created and used
in a local setting to generate local employment and other
benefits. When stamp scrip was used from 1932 to 1934 in the
Austrian town of Worgl (in parallel with the official state
currency), there was immediate creation of additionaI
employment without the need for government intervention and
without the creation of new local or public debt. The alternate
currency circulated with many times the rapidity of the
official Austrian currency, and there was local prosperity in
the midst of national depression.
Negative-interest currency can help to push inflation
down. Inflation is simply the depreciation of a currency in
terms of goods. A negative-interest currency--like any commodity
that has a significant storage cost--becomes automatically
more valuable over time (a look at the price of
future delivery of gold or copper in the financial pages
compared to today's "spot" price shows that effect).
In addition, in a "normal" economy, there is a substantial amount of
hidden debt servicing in every purchase we make--estimates put it on average at 30 to 50 percent--which would be
gradually eliminated by the introduction of negative-interest
currency. The combination of the automatic appreciation of
the value of the currency and the gradual reduction of the
interest component from all capital-intensive goods and
services, results in a powerful technique to combat inflationary
tendencies.
There is an additional beneficial effect with regard to
the environment. The higher the money rate of interest, the
stronger is the pressure to discount the future and to place
immediate gains ahead of long-term concerns. With negative-interest
currency, this pressure is not only absent but
even reversed, and more environment-friendly priorities
automatically prevail.
During the economic depression of the 1930s, Europe
saw a number of practical monetary experiments with negative-interest alternative currency.
The device worked splendidly. The alternative currency (typically issued by a small
city or region) had many times the rapidity of circulation of
the official currency, and the anticipated employment and
environmental benefits were actualized. In Worgl, for
example, people spontaneously started replanting forests just
to dispose of their negative-interest currency in anticipation
of future cash flow to be expected from the growing trees. In
every case, however, the central bank halted the experiment
after a few years. The experiments were blocked not because
they were unsuccessful but because they were so remarkably
successful that they were perceived as threatening to
centralized decision-making and the central bank's monopoly on
issuing currency.
2. Commodity-Based Currency
The idea of a commodity-based currency may seem
to some a step backwards to a more primitive form of exchange. But in fact, from a practical
point of view, commodity-secured money (for example, gold- and silver-based
money) is the only type of money that can be said to have
passed the test of history in market economics. The kind of
unsecured currency (bank notes and treasury notes) presently used by practically all
countries has been acceptable only for about half a century, and the judgment of history
regarding its soundness still remains to be written.
With a commodity-based currency, a central bank could issue a New Currency backed
by a basket of from three to a dozen different commodities for which there are existing
international commodity markets. For instance, 100 New
Currency could be worth 0.05 ounces of gold, plus 3 ounces
of silver, plus 15 pounds of copper, plus 1 barrel of oil, plus 5
pounds of wool.
This New Currency would be convertible because
each of its component commodities is immediately convertible. It also offers several kinds of
flexibility. The central bank
would agree to deliver commodities from this basket whose
value in foreign currency equals the value of that particular
basket. The bank would be free to substitute certain commodities of the basket
for others as long as they were also part
of the basket. The bank could keep and trade its commodity
inventories wherever the international market was most
convenient for its own purposes--Zurich for gold, London
for copper, New York for silver, and so on. Because of
arbitrage between all these places, it doesn't really matter
where the trades would be executed, as the final hard currency
proceeds would be practically equivalent. Finally,
since the commodities also have futures markets, it would be
perfectly possible for the bank to settle any forward amounts
in New Currency, while offsetting the risks in the futures
market if it so desired.
This flexibility results in a currency with very desirable characteristics.
First of all, the reserves that the country
could rely on--actual reserves plus production capacity--are much larger than its current stock of hard currencies and
gold. The New Currency would be automatically convertible
without the need for new international agreements. Since
the necessary international commodity exchanges already
exist, the system could be started unilaterally, without any
negotiations. Because of the diversification offered by the
basket of several commodities, the currency would be much
more stable than any of its components--more stable, really,
than any other convertible currency in today's market.
3. The Negative Interest Rate
Besides being commodity-based, the New Currency
would have a negative interest rate reflecting the costs of
storing and insuring the underlying commodities and transporting
them to the key international markets. Transferring
these real costs to the bearer automatically provides all the
advantages of stamp scrip.
There are a number of ways in which this negative
interest rate could be levied. To begin with, most of the
"money" in circulation takes the form of accounting entries
in a computer somewhere, and it would be fairly simple to
electronically charge the negative interest rate to these
accounts. For bills actually in circulation, one simple method
that has already been used is the stamps mentioned above. It
is also possible to use an electronic debit card similar to the
magnetic-strip cards used for the rapid transit systems of San
Francisco and Washington, D.C.
As international trust in the New Currency increased,
one would expect that fewer holders would request redemption of the currency
against physical delivery. This was the
case with the gold-backed dollar in the postwar era. People
rarely requested physical delivery; it was sufficient to know
that such delivery was available.
One obvious concern about this concept is the effect
on normal banking if a country were to shift to New Currency.
Let us assume that the negative interest rate being
charged to the public is 2 percent a month. The banks themselves would be charged
a slightly lower percentage (perhaps 1 percent) on their own funds
to provide them with incentives not to hoard their reserves.
Banks would be able in a free market to make loans for housing or other credit-worthy projects
at a low but positive rate, such as +l or +2
percent. In other words, banks could still have their normal
spreads between the cost of funds and the market interest
rates, and market rationing would still operate. The only (but
significant) difference from the "normal" interest rate
structures is that the starting point would be a negative 2 percent
instead of some positive rate, as is the case everywhere today.
With a reduction in the propensity to hoard currency,
one might wonder whether savings and investment would
be drastically reduced. People would, indeed, save less in the
forms of cash, savings accounts, and cash equivalents. But
they would save more in real physical assets, including
productive assets. Stocks and bonds would, in fact, become
on the whole more valuable and easier to sell than in a
"normal" market economy because they would represent
promises to future cash flows. (The dynamic is similar to
what occurs when interest rates drop and stocks boom.) All
other things being equal, one should even expect a net
increase in investments after introducing negative-interest
currency, but the forms that these investments would take
would be different.
The New Currency could be introduced gradually,
while the old currency was still in circulation. Furthermore,
negative-interest scrip could be employed locally either
independently or as part of an overall national plan to move
toward a convertible New Currency.
4. Summary: Advantages of the New Currency Concept
In sum, the New Currency concept can provide a
number of advantages. First, as a number of economists have
concluded, negative-interest currency is one of the few true
long-term structural measures that can spontaneously help
to achieve ecologically sustainable growth within a market
economy.
Second, negative-interest scrip can be used on a
de-centralized basis to stimulate local initiatives and resolve
local social and economic difficulties. This could be done
independently by local decision or as a pilot project to test out
aspects of the plan before it was adopted at the national level.
Third, the anti-inflation impact as a consequence of
both its automatically increasing value over time and the
elimination of the interest component in the costs of all goods
and services.
Fourth, the New Currency would become immediately convertible without
the need for any new international
agreements. It would constitute an attractive new currency
because of its inherent stability and its built-in protection
against inflation. It would automatically provide a country
with very substantial reserves, including present inventories
and future production capacities of up to a dozen commodities.
It would also provide greater flexibility in the disposal of
these commodities in the international markets.
Fifth, the scale and speed of introduction of the stamp
scrip experiment are extremely flexible. Negative-interest
currency could be introduced in parallel with existing currency. It could be made permanent
after its benefits were
fully demonstrated, or the scrip could be retired if it were
judged no longer to be needed. It could be introduced in some
cities or regions and not in others.
Finally, the two approaches can be used together. A
New Currency issued by a central bank would create an
internationally convertible currency of remarkable stability.
Decentralized issues of stamp scrip by a variety of local
communities would maximize the creation of employment
and economic activity in those communities. In combination,
the two approaches would mutually reinforce each other to
provide a flexible and powerful monetary strategy.
"A disordered currency is one of the greatest political evils."Daniel Webster (1782-1852)
Bernard Lietaer is currently a Research Fellow at the Center for Sustainable Resources of the University of California at Berkeley. His latest book on the Future of Money, about which a free online conference has coalesced, was published in January 2001 and is now available online. (For a German version, see http://www.futuremoney.de.)
His professional background afforded him access to five different (and
usually mutally exclusive) hands-on experiences with money systems,
listed here in chronological order: - For multinational corporations, he developed the first models of global currency management;
- He has consulted with developing countries on four different continents about improving hard currency earnings;\
- His academic history includes a Professorship of International Finance at the University of Louvain in Belgium;
- For five years he was head of the Organization and Planning Department at the Central Bank of Belgium, where he was President of the Electronic Payment System; and
- Finally, in the speculative domain, he served as general manager and currency trader of the most successful offshore currency fund.
TOP OF PAGE
|