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China
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Shanghai
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Shanghai
I. Basic
Figures
- Name:
Shanghai Municipality
- Areas:
6340.5sqkm
- Population:
13,055,000 (registered permanent residence at the end of 1997)
- Geography:
Occupying the front edge of Yangtze River Delta, Shanghai is located at
31.14°N and 121.29°E. Bordering on the East China
Sea in the east, on the north by the Yangtze River, on the south by the
Hangzhou Gulf, on the west it connected with Zhejiang and Jiangsu
provinces. With a climate of marine monsoon of subtropics, Shanghai is
warn and moist.
- Nature
Resources: Situated in the lower reaches of the Yangtze
River, Shanghai has numerous channels and ditches in length and
breadth. Abundant in water resources, the total capacity of water
resources per year amounts to 59,920,000,000 cubic meter and the
underground water is of good quality. Shanghai is a highly populated
area. In its suburban rural districts, land is fully cultivated and the
percentage of the farming land occupying the total is 61.1%, two times
higher than the average ratio of 20% of America, whereas per capita
area of cultivated farmland is only 0.38 Mu.
- Economy:
As a rather developed area, Shanghai’s total output value of 1997 is
336,021,000,000 Yuan, amounting to 4.5% of the total of China. Its
gross value of industrial and agricultural outputs of the same year is
585,434,000,000 Yuan, among which gross value of industrial output is
564,993,000,000 Yuan, and the value of agriculture is
20,441,000,000Yuan. The per capita gross product is 25,750 Yuan, higher
than Beijing and Tianjin, the other two municipalities directly under
the central government. The total food product is 237,860,000 ton. The
value of revenue of the municipality is 107,095,000,000 Yuan, occupying
the 12.4% of the whole country. The handling capacity of Shanghai
harbor is 16,397ton, occupying the 18.7% of the whole country. The
total volume of import and export commodities is $58,683,000,000 US,
occupying the 18.7% of the whole country.
- Labor:
By the end of 1997, the total number of the employed in
Shanghai is 8,472,500, among which 4,352,700 were workers employed by
the state. The unemployment number in urban areas of Shanghai is
149,000.In 1997, the total wage of all state employed workers amounts
to 510,100,000,000 Yuan, and average wage of each in the year is 11,425
Yuan. The total input of municipal government for labor insurance
allowances of both working and retired employees is 252,610,000,000
Yuan .
- People's
Life: The average income of peasantry per capita is
5,277yuan, higher than levels of Beijing and Tianjing. The average
value of consumption of the whole municipality is 6,820 Yuan, while
average value of consumption of rural inhabitants is 4953Yuan, and of
urban inhabitants reaches 6820Yuan. Housing in Shanghai has maintained
in short supply for quite a long time, comparing with situations of
Tianjing and Beijing, although it is improving recently. In 1997, the
average living space for each inhabitant of Shanghai is 9.3 squire
meters, comparing to 14.36 of Beijing and 12.27 of
Tianjing during the same period. There are 52 hospital beds and 39
medical workers for every 10,000 inhabitants of Shanghai.
- Schools
and Universities: Towards the end of 1997, there have been
altogether 39 colleges and universities with students of 153,804 and
teaching staff of 20,106. Shanghai also has secondary specialized
schools of 98 with students of 897,047 and teaching staff of 5,956, and
technical schools, vocational schools as well as common schools of
1,016 with students of 1,024,402 and teaching staff of 518,002.
Shanghai has 2,533 primary schools with students of 1,024,402 and
teaching staff of 518,002.
II Population Situation
- Size
and Distribution
Being one
of the most tremendous metropolis of the
world, the population size of Shanghai is big: the total is 1,305,4600
in 1997, occupying the 5th place among the 10 largest cities, only next
to Mexico City, Tokyo, St., Paul and New York. In spite of the
population density of Shanghai is as high as 2,059/per sq.km in
average, distinct variations can be found between regions: in urban
areas, the mean population density is 3,854/per sq.km while in suburban
rural counties, the figure is only 776/ersq.km. Since 1993, Shanghai
has been the first region of China with a negative fertility growth in
its registered population, while the total registered people is
increasing owing to in-migration. Namely, the increase rate is 0.08%
comparing to the figure of 1997.In fact, the actual population is
15,300,000, counting in all drifting population. Besides, along with
the urbanization and expending of metropolitan regions, urban
population of Shanghai has increased to 10,185,900 in 1997, comparing
to 9,610,200 in 1996. Generally speaking, there is such a trend, that
settlements of urban inhabitants are extending to suburban areas where
rural Inhabitants are also assembling at bordering line of metropolitan.
2.
Population History
In past
five decades, since the founding of the
People’s Republic in 1949 to the date, the demographic trend of
Shanghai can be divided into 5 phases:
Phase 1,
1949-1959, the period of booming. The net increased population is
5,255,000, and the average annual increase rate is 74 per thousand.
Phase 2,
1960-1968, the period of gradual increasing. The net increased number
of the 9 years is 806,000, and the average annual increase rate is 8.4
per thousand.
Phase 3,
1969-1977, the period of shrinking.
Altogether decreased by 225,000 in 9 years, and the rate of decrease is
2.3 per thousand each year.
Phase 4,
1978-1990, the period of increasing. The net increased number during
the 13 years is 1,969,000, the increase rate per year is 12.9 per
thousand. Phase 5, 1991-now, the period of low increase. The natural
increase in Shanghai has become the mode of negative.
3.
Population Structure by Sex and Age
Obvious
changes happened in sex ratio since1949.
In 1950s, the sex ratio of the total population of Shanghai is as high
as 118.6. Whereas in 70s and 80s, the ratio decreased respectively to
98.4 and 98.6. After 1990, the sex ratio of the total population
increased to 101.7, and later, stabilized around 101.6, one of the
lowest among all provinces and municipalities of China.
In 1997,
population of Shanghai is obviously characterized by aging, the
proportion of young persons (0-14) has been shrinking to 58%, the
lowest of the country while the proportion of persons aged 65 and over
is 12.22%, the highest of the country. The proportion of persons aged
from 15-60 is 72.22%. The total dependency ratio is 38.52%. Comparing
to children dependency ratio of 21.59%, which is the lowest of the
country, the ratio for aged is 16.93%, the highest of the country.
- 4. Fertility Level and Changes
Shanghai
Authorities began to advocate family
planning as early as 1950s.After efforts of several decades, Shanghai
presently has the lowest fertility throughout the country. Till the end
of 1989, the fertility of Shanghai is 10.2 per thousand that is lower
than 21.8 per thousand, the fertility of whole country of the same year
by 10.2 per thousand. In the same period, the general birth rate of
Shanghai is only 41.48 per thousand, lower than 79.53 per thousand, the
average level of the whole country of the same period by 38.05 per
thousand. The total fertility rate of Shanghai is 1.33 per women, and
it is much lower than 2.25, the mean level of the whole country of the
time. By early 1990s, Shanghai’s fertility level declined under the
replacement level, and started negative growth since 1993.In 1997, the
fertility is only 4.9per thousand, the natural growth rate of -2.4per
thousand, and total fertility of 0.91 per women.
5.
Mortality and Life Expectancy
- Shanghai’s mortality declined
sharply after the founding of the Public
in 1949. It is reckoned that the mortality of the population before
1949 is around 25-39per thousand. In 1951, the mortality of Shanghai is
14.2 per thousand, while in suburban counties the death rate of19.7 per
thousand is much higher, and especially the rate of infant, which is
even as high as 83.93 per thousand. Nevertheless, the mortality dropped
significantly to 6.1 per thousand or so during the period of
1950s-1960s. Due to the development of health care for women and
children by the Government, infant mortality decreased quickly to 29.72
per thousand of 1958. Generally, throughout 1980s and 1990s, the
mortality of the population stabilized around 6.2-6.7per thousand.
Accompanied by the trend of aging of the population, however, a gradual
increase in mortality can be observed: the mortality of 1992 is 7.1 per
thousand, and till the year of 1997, up to 7.3 per thousand. The
traditional U-curve of mortality of old Shanghai has transferred into
the mode of modern one with a curve like J and is developing.
At the
early
stage after the Liberation, the life expectancy of male is only 42.0
and female 45.6.The later decades, however, were characterized by
renewed strong increase in life expectancy. By the year of 1990, life
expectancy at birth rose both for males and females to 73.7 and 77.8.
Between 1990 to 1997, it increased for males by additional 2.02 years
and for females by 1.47 years. In 1997, life expectancy at birth was
75.7 for males and 79.2 for females, which are ahead of the mean level
of the world as well as levels of many median income countries and Near
the levels of some most developed countries.
6.
Marital Status, Family Size and Type
- Between early 1950s- 80s, the
mean age of first marriage of Shanghai
remained rising, from 20.79 of 50s, 22.86 of 60s, 24.05 of 70s, to
25.60 of 80s. Then, an opposite tendency began: It declined
continuously from 25.38 of 1981, 24.37 of 1987, to 23.75 of 1990. The
marriage rate in 80s reached 48.93 per thousand, and after then began
to decline. In 1992, the marriage rate is only 15.17%, which can
neither be reckoned as the result of increase of single men and women,
nor postponed mean age of first marriage of the population.
The
family
size of Shanghai has tended to become smaller for a time. In 1990, the
average family size is 3.10 persons, while in 1997, it decreased to
3.06 persons per family, much lower than the average figure of the
country, 3.64 persons per family. Directed contradicted with its
housing problem, Shanghai’s households in metropolis are generally
bigger than those in suburban counties. Three-generation stem families
are proved to be quite stable, a phenomenon opposing situations of
anywhere around the country. Nuclear family occupies the largest share
of the total, about 70.5%, among which 55.8 % are consisted by one
couple with children and 14.69% are only consisted by husband and wife.
Three- generations- stem family occupies 20.7%. Presently, the decline
of single-parents family has ceased and in 1997, the percentage of
single-parents family is 8.8%.
7. Aged
of
Population
- Caused mainly by
fertility decline and increase of life expectancy, Shanghai has become
a society of the aged. In 1997, the age group of 65 and above is
1,600,000, and the percentage of 65 and above is 12.22%. The speed of
aging of Shanghai not only has exceeded German, but also Japan, a
rapidly aging county in recent years. According to a projection, after
a period of sharp increase of the aged population in 1990s, the course
of aging of Shanghai in 21 Century would possibly consisted of three
stages. In stage 1, the 1st decade of 21 Century, speed of aging of
Shanghai might be greatly stagnated, while in stage 2, the 2cd and 3rd
decade of 21 Century, Shanghai would experience another period of sharp
aging. Nevertheless, in stage 3, approximately 4 or 5 decades after
stage 2, the proportion of the aged would gradually remained stable at
the level 20% or so.
The
current
population pyramid of Shanghai of the aged presents a shape likes a
ladder, because of the existing larger proportion of the relatively
younger aged, which will gradually shrink as the time passing. The
pyramid also characterized by the larger part of female than male, and
in age groups older, the sex ratio becomes lower. The larger part of
elderly of Shanghai is distributed in urban areas. Two-thirds old
persons have spouses, higher than the average level of the whole
country, owing to the lower rates of divorce and widowhood.
8.
Population Quality
- As a whole, the education
level of Shanghai is quite high: the total
educated population in the year of 1990 is 10,720,000, occupying the
78.5% of the all, which is higher than the mean level of the country
but still lower than Beijing, Tianjing and Liaoning Province. Till
1997, the figure increased to 91% and the illiteracy rate is 9.03%. In
1990, Shanghai inhabitants who have completed junior middle school make
up 39.3% of the total population, holding the largest share. The
persons completed primary school rank the second amounting to 28.3% and
those graduated from senior middle school rank the third amounting to
24.3%. The college graduates occupy 8.4% of the total. Whereas in 1997,
junior middle school graduates decreased to 37%, and primary school
graduates also became shorter to 21.3%. Those completed education in
senior middle school decreased to 23.8% while college graduates
slightly increased to 8.9%. The imbalance of sexual percentage can be
observed in all above- mentioned groups classified by education levels:
the share of males is obviously larger than females. Besides,
generally, urban areas have larger percent of educated people than
rural do, and primary school graduates and illiterates constitute
larger share among the aged than in any other age groups of Shanghai.
9.
Migration and Population Floating
There
were once sharp rises and falls caused by migration throughout
the period from1949, the establishment of the Country, to the year of
1980. Since then, the migration rates tended to be stable with a
constant bigger in-migration than out-migration, and the wave motions
were much less obvious than those of prior period, with an average net
in-migration figure of 39,800 each year. The main determinants for
those moves are job transferring, education, and technical training.
Very high sex ratio can be observed in immigrants from other provinces,
and sometime males could be two times more than females, which will
definitely have a continued effect on the sex ratio of future
population of Shanghai. The net migration-immigrants minus emigrants of
1997 amounts 47,500, and the percentage of increase caused by
immigrants is 3.6per thousand.
Additionally,
the size of the drifting population of Shanghai is expanding. Based on
a survey conducted on Oct. 20, 1998, the total drifting population
without household registration in Shanghai Municipality has reached
1,246,000, among which 1,058,000 were moved from neighboring provinces
and foreign countries, all the other from suburb counties. In 1997,
economic activities, such as laboring, business affairs, etc. are
explained to be the major reasons for in-migrations, amounting to
67.5%, and the non-economical activities, such as relative visit,
marriage tour, and tourism, amount to 22.9%. The rest, about 4.4% of
the total are found for cultural activities, such as technical training
and all kinds of meetings. Moreover, international migration of
Shanghai now runs the highest of China.
10.Population,
Resources and Environment
Despite
of some advantages like rich water resources it has and
favorable geographic position it locates, Shanghai’s facing
disadvantage like soil and water pollution, caused by very high
population and industry density. The environment problem has been
viewed as a key determinant for the social and economic development of
Shanghai. At the time of the being, a thorough environmental protection
project is under implementation by the local Government, and, according
to a prediction, the pollution of Shanghai would be possibly controlled
by 2000, and the ecological environment will significantly improved
till the year of 2020.
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